MISSION, KS — A new poll conducted by GBAO Strategies and released by Bollier for Kansas shows Dr. Barbara Bollier leading Congressman Roger Marshall by one point in a three-way race that includes Libertarian candidate Jason Buckley.
“This poll mirrors what we’re hearing from voters across the state — Kansans are ready for a moderate leader in Washington who will prioritize bipartisan solutions for families,” said Alexandra De Luca, Bollier’s communications director. “Meanwhile, Congressman Marshall faces backlash over reports suggesting he sought to profit from the COVID-19 pandemic. The momentum is clearly on our side, as Kansans demand change and reject the hyper-partisan, self-serving politics championed by Marshall and his dark money allies in D.C.”
The release of this poll coincided with Bollier receiving an endorsement from the Kansas City Star, which highlighted her moderate, pro-business stance and independent leadership. Earlier this month, Bollier’s campaign announced a record-breaking $13.5 million fundraising haul for Q3, outpacing Marshall nearly 5:1 with contributions from all 105 counties in Kansas. Previous polls have consistently shown the race as highly competitive.
Key Findings from the GBAO Poll
The memo from GBAO outlines the survey results and provides insights into the race:
- Kansas remains a Republican and conservative stronghold.
- The poll reflects the state’s traditional political leanings, with 51% of voters identifying as registered Republicans—a 23-point advantage over Democrats.
- Conservatives outnumber liberals by more than 2-to-1 (40% vs. 16%).
- Bollier leads Marshall by 1 point in a three-way race.
- In a contest including Libertarian Jason Buckley, Bollier holds a slight edge (46% Bollier, 45% Marshall, 4% Buckley, 4% other/undecided).
- Bollier has stronger cross-party appeal, consolidating 93% of Democrats compared to Marshall’s 70% of Republicans.
- The race tightens in a two-way contest.
- When third-party voters were asked to choose between Bollier and Marshall, the result was a tie (47% Bollier, 47% Marshall).
- Bollier dominates among moderates and is seen as the more moderate candidate.
- Bollier has a commanding 41-point lead among moderates in the three-way race (67% Bollier, 26% Marshall).
- In a two-way match-up, Bollier maintains a 38-point advantage with moderates (68% Bollier, 29% Marshall).
- A majority of Kansas voters (51%) view Bollier as more moderate than Marshall (28%). Among moderates, 64% identify Bollier as the candidate who best represents their values, compared to 20% for Marshall.
This poll reinforces the growing enthusiasm for Bollier’s candidacy as she positions herself as a pragmatic leader committed to bipartisan collaboration. With the race neck-and-neck, voter turnout and continued momentum will be critical in the final stretch.
